The Canterbury Crusaders, one of the worlds most successful Rugby Union franchises, is embracing the ideas behind Cohesion and the use of the TWI metric to understand how recruitment and selection impact long and short tern performance.
It has been a moving feast in Northern Hemisphere Rugby especially at club level. Club and Test do not act in isolation however these effects take time to manifest. GAIN LINE Analytics research into teams show some very clear correlations over the long term around this aspect:
WHAT HAPPENS IN THE CLUB GAME DIRECTLY AFFECTS TEST RUGBY
There is a continuous debate in the pubs, clubs and lounge-rooms of Australia and New Zealand as to whether great historic teams could have survived in today’s competitions, or about which football code is the best of all.
Australasia’s Best Sporting Team has been designed to bring an analytical approach to answering some of these questions, and in doing so aims to start a new conversation about greatness and rewarding success, as well as unearthing some hidden gems and helping those in need.
Platinum Asset Management, in conjunction with GAIN LINE Analytics have conducted a huge statistical analysis of 74,426 matches between 222 teams in 14 sports over 25 years to come to a conclusion. The winning team is being presented with the opportunity to make a donation to a local cause in their community.
You have got to be in it to win but getting there is the hardest part especially in the AFL.
Cohesion is a strong indicator of success in the AFL. A team's TWI® drives in-season Cohesion which is one of the drivers of in-season performance. A high TWI® team has the capacity to create high in-season Cohesion but low TWI® teams has little ability to do so. Teams that can optimise their Cohesion either through TWI® or Accumulated Continuity (in-season Cohesion) are more successful.
Without high TWI® and/or high Accumulated Continuity teams rarely get to play at the pointy end of the AFL season.
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GAIN LINE Analytics are thrilled to be included in a list of outstanding companies and people being nominated for the inaugural Australia & New Zealand Sports Technology Awards (ANZSTA).
The ANZSTA's celebrate excellence and innovation of Australia and New Zealand based organisations in the application of data and technology across a range of vertical industries.
Click here for a full list of nominations.
For those reading Footballistics by respected ABC journalist James Coventry and his cohort of very smart and passionate AFL analysts here is some more insight into Chapter 10.
The impact of Cohesion is evident in the AFL through the use of the Accumulated Continuity Marker (a measure of game-by-game Cohesion) and it's relative ability to predict game outcomes. The chart below shows seasonal outcome predictions from 2010 to 2016 using the base level Accumulated Continuity Marker. This marker does not incorporate any AFL game specific information, does not get adjusted for form during the season and contains no player or team performance data (Betting agency odds predictions have been used for the purpose of benchmark comparison).
Cohesion Analytics isn't actually about prediction but understanding what drives performance. Prediction is just one of the many outputs.
Chris Judd on Footy Classified discussing the impact of Cohesion and TWI on the performance of teams in the AFL. Cohesion Analytics is another layer by which to understand team (and coach) performance.